HORSE RACING SATURDAY - SELECTIONS

[aidanldrebin]

2.40 Sandown - MASAALEK

Nicely bred colt who has always been held in high regard by his trainer Marcus Tregoning and he looked a highly promising individual when chasing home Coasting in a Newbury maiden over 6f last May, but wasn't seen again until making his reappearance almost a year later this April. That was in a 7f maiden at Newmarket when chasing home the useful Virtual and didn't have to be extended to break his maiden when running out a ready four length winner at Lingfield. Chased home the useful Yaadree next time out in a competitive mile handicap at Newmarket after a tardy start hampered his chances somewhat. Was drawn in no man's land last time in the Britannia Handicap at Royal Ascot, but travelled ever so strongly throughout the race and quickened up well inside the final furlong, only to find the better drawn Fifteen Love just getting the better of him on the stands side. There was only half a length in it and that rival re-opposes here off 2lbs worse terms and without the benefit of a better draw and with surely much more to come and his profile is that of a very progressive colt who should well become only the second three-year old to win this in recent years.

3.20 Sandown - PHOENIX TOWER (NB)

No doubting this is a poor renewal of the Eclipse with only Literato and Mount Nelson having won in Group 1 company, though neither have shown much recently at this level to convince. I am going for the Henry Cecil trained son of Chester House who looks as if he is very much on the upgrade and has managed to comeback from injury and remain as competitive as ever. After winning a Newbury handicap and a minor event at Windsor, he sustained an injury and wasn't seen again until contesting the Group 3 Earl Of Sefton Stakes on his return to action almost a year after his last run when coming with a late run to score with minimal fuss. Stepped straight into Group 1 company on his next start in the Lockinge and found only the very useful Creachadoir too good for him, but stuck on really well for second and gave a clear indication he needed further than a mile. His last run came in the Group 1 Prince Of Wales's Stakes at Royal Ascot when finding only the top class Duke Of Marmalade too good to handle and just got on top of Pipedreamer on the line and those two pieces of form give him a massive chance and if ridden slightly closer to the pace, then could be hard to beat. Pipedreamer is a very progressive colt, but has now twice been held by the selection, though will be involved in the finish while Mount Nelson needs to find a shade more to score at this level, though is showing something like his old sparkle. (60 to follow horse)

3.35 Haydock - BUCCELLATI (NAP)

Highly progressive handicapper in 2007 and rattled off autumn hat trick of valuable handicap wins over 10-12f at Chester, Doncaster and Ascot, with the last win in particularly impressive. Predictably started the season off a less than attractive looking mark and was forced to make his reappearance in the Group 3 Brigadier Gerard Stakes at Sandown where he was far from disgraced in eighth behind Smokey Oakey and looked set for a decent campaign. Last run in the Listed Wolferton Handicap at Royal Ascot suggested there was still one last major handicap in him off his current mark (only 1lb higher here) and also didn't get the clearest of runs in what was a rough and tumble race at times. Seems to strike form around this time of year and with the cut in the ground a plus and the step up to 12f also in his favour, he should run a massive race where the condensed nature of the weights in this race means there is only 10lbs covering the whole field. Dangers include Camps Bay who has ability, but sometimes tends to leave himself a lot to do but should run into a place while Young Mick is another to take into consideration as he looked happy back in handicap company last time and actually looks fairly well treated on the best of his form.
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[martinallen72]

Aidan - I'm rather embarrassed that I happened to pick the same selections as you with my write-ups being of significantly poorer quality...but also grateful that superb minds evidently think alike!

2:10 Sandown
EW Ancien Regime @ 5
Everything looks right for Ancien Regime. 3 year old are doing excellently against older horses and he looks ready to step up into this class following his win and third in very good handicaps, the latest off top-weight and slightly on the wrong side. He has a great draw today and looks primed for a big run

2:40 Sandown
Masaalek @ 6.5
EW Pinpoint @ 13
Tregoning is starting to hit form and Masaaleks second in the Britannia was a very very good effort and he totally dominated his far side group. Well-drawn today, he also looks to be an improving sort and will be suited by the uphill finish. Lang Shining is a danger but he was well beaten in the Hunt Cup (albeit on the wrong side) but looked awkward the time before at York on fast ground. Pinpoint is my idea of a solid place bet. Swinburns horses are also in very good form and this one will bounce off the fast ground. His third in the Wolferton is some of the best form on offer today and he looks slightly overpriced at 12/1

3:20 Sandown
EW Phoenix Tower @ 4.5
was staying on well last time at Royal Ascot so should relish the stiff finish here. There is certainly no Duke Of Marmalade running today, which makes life a lot easier. He is the stable number one according to jockey bookings. It will be close between him and Pipedreamer again as he only just lost out at Ascot. However, with this stiff finish likely to suit Cecils mount a bit more in my opinion, he could be playing for places.

3:35 Haydock
EW Buccellati @ 8
got no sort of run last time at Ascot despite finishing well over 1m 2f. this extra distance sure to suit and looks to be bang back in form. Is very consistent, will give you a good run for your money and at 8/1 is massively overpriced.
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[nors]

HOH MIKE (no odds found) is a worthy favourite in a race where big priced winners are a rarity over the last 10 years. I will be trading this horse but dont expect it to get much above 2/1. If it got to 5/2 i would be concerned. The money horse has been Interpid Jack but this may have a lot to do with Ryan Moore being on board. Ancien Regime looks more of a danger and as 3 year olds have been performing well this season against older horses it is a concern. However i dont think the Jarvis horse is in the same class as Hoh Mike and If my selection runs to its last time out 5th at Ascot behind some class speed merchants Dandy Man, Takeover Target etc it will take this as it did last year. Jamie Spencer needs to be on his game.

One point to make this horse will be in a lot of peoples accumulators as it is the first race on a Saturday at the major meeting. The bookies will not want to allow this horse to get above 5/2 as liabilitys will start mounting, so beware if Hoh Mike does drift a lot.

Good luck everyone.

[HolyRomanEmpire]

2:10 Sandown Ancien Regime @ 4/1

The three year old division of sprinters in the UK at present is the strongest for a fair while with the likesof Fleeting Spirit, Kingsgate Native, Look Busy & Captain Gerrard setting the sights for others, but Ancien Regime is perhaps another from the brigade who could cause an upset, he was unlucky not to have secured a second valuable handicap last time for connections, and despite dropping to the minimum today holds every chance. He is full of speed and that is likely the key to his true ptential today. Dettori takes the ride, and ground more than ideal in what is not the strongest of Group 3 sprints. Hoh Mike is going to be popular and could give the selection most to think about especially as he won this last year and is unbeaten at the track.

3:20 Sandown Mount Nelson (NAP) @ 7/2

Its hard to really get away from Aiden OBrien and Mount Nelson here in what is a weak renewal of the eclipse, Campanologist was fortunate to gain his success last time, when given a canny ride against his own generation, and just prevailing, and will now find this tougher, Literato needs the heavens to open, Maraahel, Rob Roy & Stotsfold have all looked short of this level, leaving it down to 4 runners in my opinion. Multidimentional is interesting but he does decieve and yard have much more likely winner in stable mate Pheonix Tower the chosen mount of Ted Durcan, who was second to Duke of Marmalade when pipping Pipedreamer at Ascot, but it would be tough to call on that evidence and Gosdens Cambridgeshire winner could reverse that form, but Mount Nelson really caught the eye when 5th to Haradasun, and was once the best rated juvenile as a two year old, they have been patient with the son of Rock of Gibraltor and it could all pay off today. OBrien knows what is required to get the better of the next three in the market, and the 4/1 available looks the value of the race.
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[gazthecat]

NEZAMI (no odds found)

A failed gamble last time out, usually a consistant runner dropped back down in class must be worth an E/W bet at a good price

ST JEAN CAP FERRAT (no odds found)
another consistant horse who was unlucky not to win last time out when boxed in and had to switch right to get a clear run eventually finishing 2nd. Four runs this season 2312.
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[thewish]

Hi all couple of old timers from me
GIFT HORSE (no odds found) NAP

trainer in fantastic form 7 winners,3 placed inthe last fortnight only runner at Leicester today and despite not having the best of runs over the last couple of years selection finished well LTO showing signs of a return to form.

YOUNG MICK (no odds found) EWAY NB.

Another horse that has had a difficult time recently, and although MAD RUSH is a justified favourite, i'm having an Each Way saver on \young \mick whose 2006 record was superb and showed signs of a return to form at Ascot after injury problems last year. 16/1 looks good value to me.

Good Luck all
Wish
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[veedub]

Not one to be known for my postings on this thread but after a couple of nice days punting (using the quality information here) i'm going to stick my neck out with these selections

14:40 Sandown 1m Hcap

Going to start with a couple of Place Lays here Jack Junior and Kavachi, the former hard to work hard to beat some fairly second rate horses last time in a Haydock maiden and is up against much stiffer competition here.
Same can be said for Kavachi who ran well in the Hunt cup but could get caught out with the stiff competition again.

The one i will be backing in this race for a place (currently 11/8 on Betfair) is Lang Shining eased down once held in the Hunt cup but is much better judged on fine performances at York and Newbury.

With 4 places paid on the place market on Betfair i feel the top four currently in the market will fill these spots so fairly confident with my place Lay selections.
Good luck all
Vee
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[bertymyboy]

any Scoop 6 inthusiasts out there i like a fun bet like this where you put little money on and could scoop a jackpot here are todays selections

2.10 sandown : Hoh Mike
2.25 Haydock : Allied Powers
2.40 sandown : Masaalek
3.00 Haydock : Folk Opera
3.20 sandown : Pipedreamer
3.35 Haydock : Camps Bay.

GOOD LUCK.

[oscarwolfe]

3:35 Haydock... Pevensey (NB) @ 14/1

Pippa Greene had previously beaten Sugar Ray by 4 lengths on soft at Liecester but looked to be at his limit stamina wise then at this trip. Pevensey didnt get the best of passages behind Mad Rush at Ascot (in which Sugar Ray won) yet had Pippa Greene beaten at York penultimately when that one stumbled during the race, and this is his best trip. Last years winner Dansili Dancer has a bit to find with Pevensey at the weights, but has won 2 from 3 here. Dunaskin will ensure a good pace and could win this on recent form but has yet to win at this distance and has been well beaten in this event twice before. Young Mick is another best at this distance but appears to save his best for the all weather or Ascot. Pevensey to win..... Pippa Greene the F/C


4:10 Haydock ... Damika (NAP) @ 11/2 @ 6/1

Napped this last week at Newcastle and Michael Stainton got into all sorts of trouble being trapped on the inner 2fl out, yet he finished with a flourish once clear and should have easily won that event! Jim Crowley taking the reins today can be construed a positive, and Damika has had Knot in Wood in arrears on numerous times previously. Tombi could be the main threat having had the upper hand the last time these 2 met but is now 10lb worse off here. Les Arcs is another for the short list as he has won 1st time up and his engagement in the July Cup next week suggests he is ready to run.



5:35 Sandown... Never Ending Tale @ 6/1

Beat a decent sort in Classic Remark latest and has plenty scope to improve again


B Lucky
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[turfline]

In the 3.55 at Sandown today .Melodramatic. has an outstanding chance, trained by R Charlton and ridden by Richard Hughes, last ran on 12th june at Newbury over 10furlongs coming 2nd , reverts to 8furlongs today is by Saddlers Wells out of a Distant Relative mare My Branch, have put this on my Blog but the other reason i have put this up on here is that two of my racing freinds who target certain horses and race meetings in a season have gone to the meeting today and this is the main objective today and they do no the time of day.

[jwoody]

STOTSFOLD (no odds found) (PLACE BET @ 5/1 OR BETTER)

I simply can't believe the betting for this race. Mount Nelson has'nt won in 2 years and is surely only as short as 7/2 because of the current form of Coolmore. With Aiden O'briens horses hoovering up the big races this season, as per normal, plus this looking not only a substandard renewal of the Eclipse but also a very tough race to pick the winner, the only playable angle I'm interested in is the place market on Betfair; mainly because of the price of Stotsfold being over 5/1 and it might well go higher just before the off. The way I see it, Phoenix Tower is 7/2 off the back of finishing 4 lengths behind Duke Of Marmalade in the Prince Of Wales Stakes at Ascot last month, Pipedreamer was a shoulder behind and is 5/1 for todays race, Stotsfold was only 2 lengths back in the Prince Of Wales Stakes having started from a poor draw and was plum last coming into the home straight and having to go around the field, he managed to finish only 2 lengths behind Phoenix Tower so I'm surprised to see Stotsfold start at 33/1 and Phoenix Tower at 7/2; this being the case, I reckon Stotsfold has a decent chance of finishing in the top 3. I will also be placing the follwing 2 straight forcasts: Phoenix Tower to beat Stosfold and Monunt Nelson to beat Stosfold, if either of the forecast oblige, you get aggregated odds of around 40/1, which I think also represents value.

Best of luck people

EDIT: 7/1 for the place 2 minute before the off.
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[king pete]

3:20 - Sandown - Pheonix Tower NAP
Was off for nearly a year due to injury but has made a very good return.Having gone four races unbeaten he finished 2nd, 3/4 legnths behind Creachadoir.He was then tried over a slightly longer trip 1m 2 but bumped into the very impressive Duke Of Maralade.Nothing in this is as good as that winner so is worth another chance at this trip.Yards in good form at the moment and the team of H Cecil and Durcan can never be ignored.One to beat here.
Danger:Maraahel

Good Luck People